WASHINGTON, D.C. - Teddy Roosevelt was in town the
other day, arguing that the country is short-changing its parks and
forests.
No, this is not a time warp. This was
Theodore Roosevelt IV of New York, an investment banker, a
conservationist and - best of all - a
Republican.
It was a nice touch, having the 26th
president's great-grandson lead a delegation of environmental
leaders into a meeting with Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott to
argue for a 4.6 percent increase in funding for public lands and
wildlife management.
It meant that they were
asking more of Lott than they were getting from President Clinton,
whose budget calls for no increase in the $12.4 billion spent this
year for public lands.
In fact, as Clinton
envisions it, the Interior Department would get $200 billion less
from taxpayers, but that much and more would be made up from more
oil royalties, a 5 percent mining royalty and higher fees at
national parks, among other hikes. Clinton also wants timber
companies to pay for their logging roads in the national forests,
which would raise $55 million.
So it was not
symbolically insignificant that Lott met with the
environmentalists, and for more than an hour. Lott's predecessor,
Bob Dole (remember him?) had never agreed to such a gathering,
perhaps for symbolic political reasons of his
own.
Not that Lott's welcome was enthusiastic.
He complained, according to a few of the participants, that the
environmental movement seemed to have become "a wing of the
Democratic Party," an observation which cannot be dismissed as
frivolous. Nonetheless, a civil conversation took place, and such
are the ways of Washington that civil conversations can lead to
civil agreements.
Still, it is hard to escape
the conclusion that such a meeting might have been more productive
had it been held several weeks earlier with the president and his
top natural-resource advisors, whose party is the one to which the
environmentalists have supposedly attached themselves, and in which
they could be expected to have some clout.
Congress ultimately decides where to spend the money, but what
emerges in February is officially "The Executive Budget" and
unofficially the bargaining-opener. For everything nonmilitary, the
president's request becomes the de facto
ceiling.
"Both sides have to
give," said Rep. John Kasich, R-Ohio, the chairman of the House
Budget Committee. The only way Clinton and the Democrats can give
is by spending less where the environmentalists want to spend
more.
So why didn't the 150 environmental groups
prepare their case earlier? Well, one reason is that there are 150
of them. Did you ever try to put together an evening at a
restaurant for 15 people? Multiply that by 10 and remember that
policy preferences are more complicated than food preferences, and
you get some idea of the difficulty.
Environmentalists also remain captive to the delusion that all they
have to do to prevail is to make a case on the merits. Facilities
in the national parks are ill-maintained. The natural resource
agencies lack the small amounts of money needed to purchase land at
their edges (and sometimes within them) where development threatens
the essential purpose of the facility. But the merits of a case
alone never carried the day here, and they are less likely to do so
under the current situation, which can be summed up in four words:
There ain't no money.
Sure, it's a $1.69
trillion budget, and the "Green Group" which met with Lott, and the
next day with Speaker Newt Gingrich, only wants another $570
million. But most of that $1.69 trillion is committed to Social
Security, Medicare and the other entitlements, or to interest on
the debt. Take away the defense budget, which, for reasons too
complicated and too depressing to consider, falls into a separate
political category, and you're left with only about $400 billion
for everything else - from economists in the Bureau of Labor
Statistics to rangers in Yellowstone Park.
These
days, everything else also includes the $250 billion of cuts over
five years needed to balance the budget by 2002, which has become a
political imperative. But, say the environmentalists, we have found
the money - in the Land and Water Conservation Fund, which brings
in $900 million a year, only $148 million of which was spent last
year - and here's a list of wasteful items to
cut.
The day after TR and his allies met on
Capitol Hill, a consortium of environmental, health and fiscal
organizations presented its annual "Green Scissors' report, a list
of 57 federal projects, the scuttling of which could save $36
billion over a five-year period. But most of that money would come
from abolishing subsidized grazing and the 1872 Mining Law, which
this Congress will not abolish.
Besides, none of
this means that there is enough money. Spending all the
Conservation Fund money would increase the deficit by a few hundred
million, or require Congress to find that few hundred million by
cutting other programs. Do environmentalists want Congress to roll
back the 6.3 percent increase Clinton proposed for the
Environmental Protection Agency? Probably not. In fact, most of
them probably don't want to take the money from the $1.2 billion he
proposed for rebuilding inner-city schools, or the $21 billion he
wants to spend to ease the potential burden on the poor of last
year's welfare bill.
That's the way it goes
these days. More money for Worthy Project A can only come from
Worthy Project B. And to those who might ask why Clinton couldn't
cut defense or increase taxes on the wealthy, he did. Not by much,
to be sure, but his budget gives the Pentagon $7 billion less and
proposes $34.3 billion of tax increases over five years, most of it
from relatively affluent folks.
In general,
though, this president is going to dance with the ladies who brung
him. His margin of victory came from middle- and upper
middle-income suburban women. Their priorities are education,
health care for their children and their aging parents, clean air
and water, safety in the streets and fiscal
prudence.
It isn't that they don't agree with
environmentalists about national parks, forests, recreation areas
and the like. The president did not brag on setting aside the
Escalante-Grand Staircase Monument and supporting the California
National Parks in the absence of poll results revealing how popular
they were. But these are people who go to such places every five
years or so at best. Public lands are simply not a priority for
them.
They aren't for Clinton, either. One of
the few credible stories in presidential advisor Dick Morris' book
is the one about how miffed Clinton was after Morris convinced him
to take an outdoor vacation to appeal to the recreationist impulse
among swing voters. He pouted because he wanted to be in a fancy
resort hotel and play golf.
The president is
probably a lost cause. The "soccer moms," as they were yclept last
year, are not. Shrewd political strategists could try to poke
public lands into the minds of these suburbanites. In the long run,
it would be more productive than meetings with the Senate majority
leader. As Teddy Roosevelt IV's great-grandfather well knew, the
surest route to political success is public
enthusiasm.
Jon Margolis
regularly gets inside the Beltway for High Country
News.





