November is the most political
month, for better or worse, even in odd-numbered years.
Thus we've just learned that two more of the
West's top Republicans are quitting: Wyoming Rep. Barbara
Cubin and Colorado Rep. Tom Tancredo both announced that they won't
run for re-election when their terms expire next year. They're
joining a crowd on the sidelines, as four other party leaders -
Idaho Sen. Larry Craig, Colorado Sen. Wayne Allard, New Mexico Sen.
Pete Domenici and Arizona Rep. Rick Renzi - have already announced
they're quitting.
Cubin says she needs to spend time with
her husband, who is ill. Tancredo says he's done all he can in the
House (mostly trying to choke Latino immigration, unsuccessfully)
and now he'll focus on running for president (a race he'll almost
certainly lose). Some of the other quitters are mired in scandal.
General message: It's a bad time to be a Republican candidate, with
President George W. Bush's ratings as low as a
sunset.
They announced their decision to be
toast - far in advance of next November's big election - in order
to give their party a chance to settle on good replacement
candidates. Still, those six Western seats in Congress will
suddenly have no incumbents. It raises Democrats' hopes of taking
one or more in the swirl of the region's political swing
dance.
Meanwhile, in actual elections, there
were two intriguing themes: Voters in fast-growing Western
communities - rural as well as urban - showed support for
land-use planning and candidates who would manage
development. The other theme could be called
convergence politics.
Foremost,
Oregon voters passed Measure 49, restoring many
land-use regulations that had been blown apart in 2004 by the
West's most famous ballot initiative ever, Measure 37. Now the regs
are like the porridge Goldilocks settled on - not too hot and not
too cold - and Oregon landowners can build modest developments that
suit the character of neighborhoods.
Then there's the
convergent part: Measure 49 was endorsed by the Oregon
Farm Bureau, which often spurns regulations but now wants
to protect farmland. It won a majority of votes in several
conservative rural counties. Statewide, it won an impressive 61
percent, largely thanks to the usual green suspects in Portland and
Eugene.
Elsewhere, voters in Helena, Mont., and
Boulder County and Longmont, Colo., decided to tax
themselves to buy more open-space lands or improve parks.
Candidates who took pro-planning positions won local races in
Idaho's Teton County (recently discovered by
developers) and in metro Boise. Three such
candidates won city council seats in Las Cruces,
N.M., including Nathan Small, who's a "wilderness
protection organizer" for the New Mexico Wilderness Alliance.
Seattle had a different kind of
convergence. Two ballot measures there would've addressed
transportation gridlock with new mass transit and roads, funded by
new taxes. The Sierra Club joined conservative anti-tax folks in
opposing the package, and voters rejected it. The Sierra Club,
concerned about emissions that cause global warming, wants new mass
transit without new roads. The group's exit polls showed that most
voters feel the same way. Seattle Mayor Greg Nickels and the
enviros vow to present voters with a light-rail proposal next year,
hoping it'll pass on its own.
Nearly every Westerner in
Congress voted for the oasis-like Water Resources
Development Act, which would spend $23 billion on water
projects scattered from Florida's Everglades to the Yakima River
port in Washington. They piled on as Congress overrode Bush's veto
of the bill. This is the same Congress that can't override Bush on
Iraq policy. Water-project convergence is truly unstoppable.
In Montana, moderate Republican legislator Bill Jones of
Bigfork announced he won't run for re-election next year, because
he thinks the Republican Party has gone too hard-line right.
"My party has pushed a lot of people like me
out," Jones told the Billings Gazette. The 68-year-old
dentist opposes abortion, but converges with independents and
Democrats on education and health-care issues.
In
Arizona, first-time congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, a Democrat,
married a NASA astronaut, in a ceremony at an
organic farm south of Tucson - a personal convergence. And in
Nevada, Las Vegas magicians Siegfried & Roy
announced their endorsement of Hillary Clinton for
president.
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